AOL shares fell by
14 percent and had a significant impact on other tech stocks today in response
to disappointing 2003 revenue forecasting announced
by AOL Time Warner executives at an analysts meeting in New York.
While it is
expected America Online's 2002 revenues will exceed USD 8.8 billion and
advertising and commerce revenues to be between USD 1.5 billion and 1.6
billion, the 2003 outlook is bleaker. The Company said that solid growth in
worldwide subscription revenue will be offset by declines in advertising and
commerce revenues of 40 to 50 percent in 2003, with overall revenues for the
division essentially flat in 2003 compared with 2002.
During the meeting,
AOL Online Chief Executive Jonathan Miller also hinted
at possible price increases for AOL subscribers in 2003. With the
dial-up ISP market becoming saturated in the U.S. and main rivals MSN and
Yahoo competing for AOL's current market share, AOL is starting to
experiencing declining subscriber growth.